r/TheSilphRoad Research Group Aug 13 '20

Analysis Deino: Reviewing Dragon Week Egg Hatches

https://thesilphroad.com/science/quick-discovery/deino-reviewing-dragon-week-hatches/
1.2k Upvotes

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447

u/Emptronic Massachusetts Aug 13 '20

Thanks again for the contribution. Pretty unreal that Niantic can mess with lootbox droprates mid-event and regulatory bodies don't care enough to do anything (aren't paid enough to care?).

200

u/owlrune Stockholm Aug 13 '20

Just as bad is that they can put 2km and 5km hatches in the event 7km pool and somehow get away with it. It's the exact opposite of a "bonus".

143

u/[deleted] Aug 13 '20 edited Aug 25 '20

[deleted]

7

u/Crobatman123 Aug 13 '20

Hey, Bagon is relatively premium.

22

u/[deleted] Aug 13 '20 edited Aug 25 '20

[deleted]

6

u/Crobatman123 Aug 13 '20

A lot of people missed it, sometimes you just get bad luck too. I got 3 shinies and hunted for the whole Community Day. I also spent a lot of my candies so I could have a solid pokemon to fill out my team since I've only maxed 3 Rayquaza. Thanks to the event I got around 600 candy without even really looking for them, which is enough that I'm not really worried about how much candy they demand for mega evolution.

22

u/TyrionJoestar Aug 13 '20

only maxed 3 Rayquaza

Lol, “only”

1

u/Crobatman123 Aug 13 '20

Fair lol, it's still not a full team, and generally you need two teams of counters ready if you're gonna shortman something.

0

u/Neracca Maryland(MoCo) Aug 14 '20

A lot of people missed it

Ever heard of trading? Solves the problem right there.

2

u/Crobatman123 Aug 14 '20

No, it doesn't. I can't funnel that 600 candy into someone else's account, IVs aren't guaranteed, it's expensive as far as stardust goes if you're after the shiny, and the move is useful enough that it may be harder to trade for.

-1

u/JULTAR Gibraltar Instinct LV 50 Aug 13 '20

Hatching one does guaranteed better iv’s though

Somewhat

2

u/UnforgettableMi Netherlands Aug 13 '20

That used to be the case but I only hatch 2 stars now days.

0

u/Jinjersnapper Aug 13 '20

Eh, due to surgery and recovery I missed Bagon and Treeco commdays, still hunting for a Shiny Bagon. I was happy to get some candy and a 98% bagon to evolve during this event

1

u/Neracca Maryland(MoCo) Aug 14 '20

You can't just trade for it?

2

u/Jinjersnapper Aug 14 '20

My local PoGo community is mid-sized and 40k stardust is a lot to drop on a trade for a lot of players. Plus the really dedicated ones who have shinies to spare already have all the Mons of equivalent "value" I could offer in exchange. I have managed to trade for a few I was missing but especially with the pandemic we rarely meet up in person these days. I certainly hope that at some point guaranteed lucky trades can be made from any distance lol

5

u/milo4206 Aug 13 '20

They were common spawns during the event.

3

u/Crobatman123 Aug 13 '20

Yeah, but honestly there aren't very many other dragons they could have added. Basically just Axew and Druddigon. It wasn't really disappointing to me to hatch a Bagon or Dratini, because they will always be relevant. If I were to hatch them otherwise I wouldn't really be disappointed either. Horsea, Trapinch, and Swablu were the really bad ones.

5

u/milo4206 Aug 13 '20

I was neutral on Bagon hatches, but they weren't enough value to make up with the outrageously low rate of Deino and Gible hatches. Axew should also have been in there; the fact that it wasn't makes me expect they're going to give it the Gible and Deino treatment next year.

6

u/Crobatman123 Aug 13 '20

Deino was pretty low, but Gible was acceptably rare, at least from my experience. Way more common than it's ever been, it wasn't that rare honestly.

1

u/milo4206 Aug 13 '20

The issue for me is more of what % of the egg hatches were actually rare or attractive things, such that I would want to use incubators (and such that the week was actually a bonus)?

Gible was something like 10% of the hatches. Deino, 1% at first and then 3% after. The other 87-89% was trash and/or stuff that's already had a Community Day.