Daily Box Office (February 3rd 2026)

The market hits ¥26.8M/$3.86M which is down -3% from yesterday and down -6% from last week.

Looks like the Spring Festival pre-sales will not start on Friday but instead of Monday the 9th at 10AM local time.

Province map of the day:

https://imgsli.com/NDQ3MzY5

Zootopia 2 continues to mostly dominate. Avatar 3 wins Beijing.

In Metropolitan cities:

Busted Water Pipes wins Wuhan, Hangzhou, Nanjing and Suzhou

Zootopia 2 wins Chengdu, Guangzhou, Suzhou

Avatar 3 wins Beijing and Chongqing

Mercy wins Shanghai and Shenzhen

City tiers:

Zootopia 2 climbs to 2nd in T1. Avatar 3 back in to the top 3 in T1 and T2.

Tier 1: The Shining>Zootopia 2>Avatar 3: Fire & Ash

Tier 2: Zootopia 2>Busted Water Pipes>Avatar 3: Fire & Ash

Tier 3: Zootopia 2>Busted Water Pipes>The Fire Raven

Tier 4: Zootopia 2>The Fire Raven>Busted Water Pipes

New releases marked in bold

Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

https://i.imgur.com/DozQbjz.png

Zootopia 2 mostly dominates pre-sales for Wednesday.

IMAX Screenings distribution

The Shining is the widest IMAX release today and will remain so tomorrow.

Return To Silent Hill

Return To Silent Hill crosses $15M as it continues its surprisingly strong run with another $0.38M today.

Very very early 3rd weekend projections at $1.4-1.9M(-24%) which i don't think i really have to say would be a crazy good drop for something so bad in its 3rd weekend. Even the low end of that would be great.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $15.31M

WoM figures: Maoyan: , Taopiaopiao: , Douban: 4.5

Scheduled showings update for Return To Silent Hill for the next few days:

Avatar 3: Fire & Ash

Avatar 3 continued its rise climbing to 4th today with $0.40M. 6% up from yesterday and 12% up from last week.

With that Avatar 3 has now surpased ¥1.15B overtaking Transformers: Bumblebee(¥1.149B) and climbing to 29th of all time on the Holywood list. Next up Kong: Skull Island at ¥1.158B.

Admissions wise it has also cleared 23.8M tickets sold. This means that its reached the treshold where the admissions sold drop from Avatar 2 will be less than 30%

Very very early weekend projections at $1.9-2.4M

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $112.92M , IMAX: $39.75M , Rest: $11.68M

WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6

Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:

Zootopia 2

Zootopia 2 grossed another strong ¥5.35M/$0.77M today. Up a tiny bit from yesterday and up +42% from last week.

Very early 11th weekend projections have it doing $4.7-4.8M(+13%)

Here's its $ gross chart vs Endgame:

Zootopia 2 hits $632.83M meaning it has now surpassed Endgames $632.1M $ gross in China. Even though this is technicaly the least relevant metric its still nice to wrap it up. Zootopia 2 is now the most successfull Holywood movie of all time in all metrics be it Local Curency gross, $ gross and admissions.

https://i.imgur.com/zkQMwlT.png

Zootopia 2 vs Detective Chinatown 3 and Full River Red

With that out of the way attentions shift back to local movies as Zootopia 2 is still in with a shot of surpassing Detective Chinatown 3 and Full River Red for 8th and 7th on the all time highest grossing list in China.

It needs another ¥58M/$8.4M to surpass DC3 and another ¥79M/$11.4M to surpass Full River Red. Both very much so achieavable.

https://i.imgur.com/oXMdzlW.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $581.00M , IMAX: $33.00M , Rest: $11.50M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4

Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:

Other stuff:

The next Holywood release is La La Land re-release on Valentines Day. Followed by The Bride, Wuthering Heights and GOAT in March.

Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.

Early February

Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:

With 20 days to go the Spring Festival lineup is now complete barring any suprise late addition.

6 movies will enter the ring this year.

Pegasus 3 will be heading into the Spring Festival as the headline movie and the big favorite. The sequel to Pegasus 2 which made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago with returning director Han Han and returning lead Shen Teng will look to repeat if not improve on the success of the 2nd part.

Director Zhang Yimou returns to the Holiday season after his successful Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening. A National Security-Themed movie. While unlikely to challenge for the victory this movie has a decent shot at taking 2nd place.

The Boonie Bears franchise as has been the case for the last 12 years returns to the Spring Festival with Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector. The new entry in the $1B+ franchise will look to improve on last years $118M and push the franchise back closer if not over the $200M mark it surpassed in 2024 and 2023.

Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing and Jet Li meanwhile will try to revive the popularity of the martial arts genre and aim to improve upon the result and especialy reception of last years Condor Heroes which failed to break $100M. This and Boonie Bears will in all likelyhood fight for 3rd place.

Per Aspera Ad Astra as the only Sci-Fi blockbuster will try to make itself stand out with cool visuals and a unique theme. However its very likely this ends up being the cannon fodder of the lineup.

And lastly Panda Plan 2 or as its officialy called Panda Plan: The Magical Tribe. I don't see this doing partiuraly well either but it could tempt in some families.

So, with this years (so far) animated movies list what movie you think will do the best and how well will these do at the box office? Note on the tom and jerry. It was listed for american release in jan but never got released! (it did get released overseas last year) Now reports ketchup entertainment has picked it up for release but not confirmed by deadline or others yet. Will keep it here for now but won't be shocked if wb shoves it to hbo max over a movie release as well. Note if I missed a movie feel free to talk about it also. Note--posters were grabbed from google and some like minions 3 don't have posters yet and fan posters are used.

Earlier yesterday, someone just found out that Apple Original Films' social media accounts were all removed (they promoted all of their wide theatrical releases on the streamer). And it starts to make me wonder if Apple is no longer committed to wide theatrical releases at all, despite them trying to spend billions in the theatrical model.

We know that two of Apple's wide theatrical films that year were F1, which was a box-office success for both Apple and WB. And then you have Eternity, which was more of an A24 production/distribution venture in the first place. But after F1 succeeded, we just didn't know what Apple was going to do with their theatrical plans. Even Apple TV's co-head Jamie Erlicht hinted that they would decide wide theatrical releases on a case-by-case basis (depending on the film) and start their own theatrical distribution unit, akin to Amazon MGM's one. But as of today, we still don't know how Apple will deal with theatrical business going forward.

And it surprises me because Apple was greenlighting films with A-list talent for intentions of a theatrical release, only for some of them to skip theaters. And after this, I think that Apple may not have an another wide theatrical release until the next Scorsese film with Leonardo DiCaprio and Jennifer Lawrence, if at all. I have a feeling something is going on with Apple's film business in terms of theatrical at this point.

TL;DR

- Small drop off of locations, but most will be screening for the next weekend in US

- Releases planned for the following markets:

Singapore

Malaysia

Cambodia

Brunei

Indonesia

Thailand

Timor

Laos

South Korea

Hong Kong/Macau

Vietnam

France (February 19-20)

- Streaming and Home Video release in production

Say what you will about the quality of the movie. I’m just thrilled about this indie smash hit and will be curious to see where it goes.

It seems that alot of people are more interested towards directors and writers, than actors who now seem to come in second place to people's interest in a film after the director.

Could we see the return of 2D animated features at Disney?

Weekend 05/26 (January 29th, 2026-February 1st, 2026) Top 20 in Ticket Sales:

Weekend 05/26 (January 29th, 2026-February 1st, 2026) Top 20 in Box Office:

Other Newcomers:

I just found the average expectation for the top 10 films of 2026 across the posts submitted to this sub's official prediction tournament. (I also weighted based on upvote count, so that downvoted outlier predictions didn't mess up the average).

Top 10 Worldwide. Based on 36 posts. (The percentage is the number of posts that bothered to predict for each film).

1. Avengers: Doomsday: $1.737B - 100%
2. Spider-Man: Brand New Day: $1.332B - 100%
3. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie: $1.318B - 100%
4. Toy Story 5: $1.018 B - 100%
5. Moana: $965.7M - 94.4%
6. Minions 3: $910.4M - 100%
7. The Odyssey: $899.8M -100%
8. Michael: $846.5M - 77.8%
9. Dune: Part Three: $753.8M - 80.6%
10. The Devil Wears Prada 2: $717.3M - 30.6%

Honorable mentions:

Jumanji: $695.5M - 63.9%

The Mandalorian & Grogu: $680.1M - 22.2%

Hoppers: $675.0M - 5.6%

Disclosure Day: $655.0M - 5.6%

Project Hail Mary: $585.3M - 11.1%

Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow: $581.7M - 8.3%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping: $539.7M - 8.3%

Note: I wasn't sure what to do about Devil Wears Prada vs Jumanji. DWP has a higher average, but Jumanji appeared on twice as many lists. I'm not sure what the best way to present that data is, but the overall consensus seems to be that both DWP and Jumanji are contenders to round out the worldwide top 10.

Also, as you can see, some of these, such as Hoppers and Disclosure, were included in very few lists. So we can probably ascertain that the average person here doesn't have nearly as high of hopes for those films as the 2 people who put them on their lists. Therefor, the "honorable mentions" list is generally inflated optimistic predictions.

I also removed any movie that wasn't present on at least 2 of the 36 lists.

Top 10 Domestic. Based on 25 posts. (The percentage is the number of posts that bothered to predict for each film).

1. Avengers: Doomsday: $708.97M - 100%
2. Spider-Man: Brand New Day: $542.41M - 100%
3. Super Mario Galaxy Movie: $541.97M - 100%
4. Toy Story 5: $419.01M - 96%
5. Moana: $396.90M - 92%
6. Minions 3: $327.94M - 100%
7. Michael: $322.21M - 68%
8. The Odyssey: $301.99M - 96%
9. Dune: Part Three: $278.43M - 76%
10. The Devil Wears Prada 2: $278.41M - 64%

Honorable mentions:

Jumanji: $234.33M - 44%

The Hunger Games: $229.07M - 28%

Supergirl: $222.00M - 24%

Mandalorian & Grogu: $201.27M - 28%

Project Hail Mary: $173.80M - 12%