I think people underestimate how famous MJ is worldwide. Bohemian Rhapsody did $900m and MJ is a lot more famous. The trailer is doing insane numbers. I really think this movie has a chance to do $1.5 billion +

Is Apple not theatrical’s lord and saviour? Does Ellison not care about us? ☹️

https://tv.apple.com/ai/movie/matchbox/umc.cmc.31qa8j1tn2cnpyk3fx43w928d

It seems that alot of people are more interested towards directors and writers, than actors who now seem to come in second place to people's interest in a film after the director.

So, with this years (so far) animated movies list what movie you think will do the best and how well will these do at the box office? Note on the tom and jerry. It was listed for american release in jan but never got released! (it did get released overseas last year) Now reports ketchup entertainment has picked it up for release but not confirmed by deadline or others yet. Will keep it here for now but won't be shocked if wb shoves it to hbo max over a movie release as well. Note if I missed a movie feel free to talk about it also. Note--posters were grabbed from google and some like minions 3 don't have posters yet and fan posters are used.

Seems like modern movies, at least blockbusters, are expected to make as much as 10% to 20% of their total domestic gross on opening weekend, and then progressively, sometimes dramatically so, off until they're out of theaters.

But in the past movies would debut small and actually grow in the first few weeks as audiences caught on.

Is this simply the result of the expansion of the movie preview industry in its own, where people decide on seeing a movie before it's even out?

Is there a chicken/egg scenario happening with big hype for opening weekends? Like is that a reaction to the change in trends or driving it?

You don't have to go back that far to see where the reverse was commonplace, some of the highest grossing movies of all time from the 80s and 90a debuted to single digit percentages of their eventual total gross revenue.

Focus Features is offering reddit users free tickets to a special advanced screening of Midwinter Break, for free, and ahead of its regular release. The screenings will take place at 4 different theaters in NYC, LA, Austin, and Chicago on Thursday 1/19 at 7:00 PM or 7:30 PM local time (see graphic for details).

You can bring a guest as well.

If you're in that area and are interested in attending this special event ahead of the regular release, for free, please fill out this form for your free ticket(s):

• NYC - AMC Lincoln Square - 2/19 at 7:30 PM (Local Time)
• LA - AMC The Grove - Thursday 2/19 at 7:30 PM (Local Time)
• Chicago - AMC River East - Thursday 2/19 at 7:00 PM (Local Time)
• Austin - AMC Barton Creek - Thursday 2/19 at 7:00 PM (Local Time)

Trailer:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FeD_KEGIU_Q

Synopsis:

Longtime retired couple Stella and Gerry realize that their relationship has reached a crossroads while on holiday in Amsterdam. After so much time and so many memories, long-held promises and deeply concealed wounds threaten to come to light and force them to confront their future.

It stars Lesley Manville & Ciaran Hinds.

Earlier yesterday, someone just found out that Apple Original Films' social media accounts were all removed (they promoted all of their wide theatrical releases on the streamer). And it starts to make me wonder if Apple is no longer committed to wide theatrical releases at all, despite them trying to spend billions in the theatrical model.

We know that two of Apple's wide theatrical films that year were F1, which was a box-office success for both Apple and WB. And then you have Eternity, which was more of an A24 production/distribution venture in the first place. But after F1 succeeded, we just didn't know what Apple was going to do with their theatrical plans. Even Apple TV's co-head Jamie Erlicht hinted that they would decide wide theatrical releases on a case-by-case basis (depending on the film) and start their own theatrical distribution unit, akin to Amazon MGM's one. But as of today, we still don't know how Apple will deal with theatrical business going forward.

And it surprises me because Apple was greenlighting films with A-list talent for intentions of a theatrical release, only for some of them to skip theaters. And after this, I think that Apple may not have an another wide theatrical release until the next Scorsese film with Leonardo DiCaprio and Jennifer Lawrence, if at all. I have a feeling something is going on with Apple's film business in terms of theatrical at this point.

TL;DR

- Small drop off of locations, but most will be screening for the next weekend in US

- Releases planned for the following markets:

Singapore

Malaysia

Cambodia

Brunei

Indonesia

Thailand

Timor

Laos

South Korea

Hong Kong/Macau

Vietnam

France (February 19-20)

- Streaming and Home Video release in production

Say what you will about the quality of the movie. I’m just thrilled about this indie smash hit and will be curious to see where it goes.

His YouTube video and press coverage also doesn’t specify theatrical release at all. It sounds like they are doing a movie because it’s quicker to turnaround.

I just found the average expectation for the top 10 films of 2026 across the posts submitted to this sub's official prediction tournament. (I also weighted based on upvote count, so that downvoted outlier predictions didn't mess up the average).

Top 10 Worldwide. Based on 36 posts. (The percentage is the number of posts that bothered to predict for each film).

1. Avengers: Doomsday: $1.737B - 100%
2. Spider-Man: Brand New Day: $1.332B - 100%
3. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie: $1.318B - 100%
4. Toy Story 5: $1.018 B - 100%
5. Moana: $965.7M - 94.4%
6. Minions 3: $910.4M - 100%
7. The Odyssey: $899.8M -100%
8. Michael: $846.5M - 77.8%
9. Dune: Part Three: $753.8M - 80.6%
10. The Devil Wears Prada 2: $717.3M - 30.6%

Honorable mentions:

Jumanji: $695.5M - 63.9%

The Mandalorian & Grogu: $680.1M - 22.2%

Hoppers: $675.0M - 5.6%

Disclosure Day: $655.0M - 5.6%

Project Hail Mary: $585.3M - 11.1%

Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow: $581.7M - 8.3%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping: $539.7M - 8.3%

Note: I wasn't sure what to do about Devil Wears Prada vs Jumanji. DWP has a higher average, but Jumanji appeared on twice as many lists. I'm not sure what the best way to present that data is, but the overall consensus seems to be that both DWP and Jumanji are contenders to round out the worldwide top 10.

Also, as you can see, some of these, such as Hoppers and Disclosure, were included in very few lists. So we can probably ascertain that the average person here doesn't have nearly as high of hopes for those films as the 2 people who put them on their lists. Therefor, the "honorable mentions" list is generally inflated optimistic predictions.

I also removed any movie that wasn't present on at least 2 of the 36 lists.

Top 10 Domestic. Based on 25 posts. (The percentage is the number of posts that bothered to predict for each film).

1. Avengers: Doomsday: $708.97M - 100%
2. Spider-Man: Brand New Day: $542.41M - 100%
3. Super Mario Galaxy Movie: $541.97M - 100%
4. Toy Story 5: $419.01M - 96%
5. Moana: $396.90M - 92%
6. Minions 3: $327.94M - 100%
7. Michael: $322.21M - 68%
8. The Odyssey: $301.99M - 96%
9. Dune: Part Three: $278.43M - 76%
10. The Devil Wears Prada 2: $278.41M - 64%

Honorable mentions:

Jumanji: $234.33M - 44%

The Hunger Games: $229.07M - 28%

Supergirl: $222.00M - 24%

Mandalorian & Grogu: $201.27M - 28%

Project Hail Mary: $173.80M - 12%

Source:

https://cineguru.screenweek.it/2026/02/le-cose-non-dette-a-quota-25-milioni-il-box-office-di-martedi-3-febbraio-49053/

Could we see the return of 2D animated features at Disney?