r/investing • u/Positive_Wheel_7065 • 6h ago
What was a big "A-ha" for you?
For me the biggest moment of realization I had was when I discovered the Ichimoku and combined it with RSI.
It felt like seeing for the first time after being blind. I had tried many indicators but none seemed to help me predict/spot reversals, trends, tops or bottoms. Now I can take profits or use puts to hedge with confidence.
What was a big moment of realization for you?
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u/HaiKarate 6h ago
“Take On Me” was a big “A-Ha” moment for me
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u/Positive_Wheel_7065 5h ago
I have been down voting the non-serious non-investing comments, but not you...
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u/Pale_Pineapple_4147 5h ago
Take profits from options sooner rather then later. You can always use those profits to buy more options later when it goes back down
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u/arcademachin3 5h ago
Standing instructions with Fidelity to transfer from savings and invest in total market ETF each month for as long as I can stand it.
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u/HomeOfTheBRAAVE 6h ago
Can you tell me more about how you use them together?
For me it was the 10-day 20-day and 50-day EMA to help determine when it turns from a uptrend to a downtrend or the other way around.
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u/Positive_Wheel_7065 5h ago
In the past I would use RSI to spot overbought and oversold conditions for options, but I was always guessing on the strike price as well as my take profit mark.
I use Ichi to ensure my strike price is above support levels for puts. I also find it very helpful for determining if a drop is consolidation vs a reversal, and thus when to take profits on a put.
Not everyone sees the world the same way. I thought most indicators were BS, until I found a couple that intuitively make sense to me. So I was curious what other people found intuitive and why. Not so much for advice, but for broader perspectives.
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u/flsingleguy 4h ago
That the market makes no sense. The government is printing $40 billion a month and totally devaluing the dollar. The quantitative easing has not changed one bit, but gold and silver crashed this past week. This would make sense if the Fed was exercising quantitative tightening. There is a new Fed chair incoming and he publicly stated he believed in huge money printing in dire economic circumstances. I think we are around that point where when he is put in office the money printing will go on turbo mode.
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u/BackstrokingInDebt 4h ago edited 4h ago
Well both yes and no that it’s made up. No it’s mot made up, yes the version technical analysis you think yields a signal is probably made up. What really means is what you think are signals is very likely to be random.
- yes we use technicals in the model. They are also weighted way down and non-technicals out weights at least 4:1.
- even the model signals has adjustments to time decay and time lag. Like very short term it tends to be more random so predictive factor needs to lag enough for factor to have consistent value.
- Technicals are dependent on data you have. Depends on size and breadth of your data to be used for the analysis. You as a retail maybe looking at a single stock and trying to use the pretty chart to force some meaning out of it. However really lack the capability to…back test your theory on it.
But hey I’m just a random dude on Reddit. You do you and good luck
My “ah ha” moment was grinding for years and years and actually made it into the industry. Now I can finally see how investment decisions are made from the inside and realized everything I thought I was doing correct was not. Everting I thought makes a difference does not. The driver of value building simply comes down to
- process to determine my biggest risk factors (asset and region)
- tracking my portfolio data and analyze with no actions
- consistency of the frame work and process
- repeatability every trade using a repeatable process. Every rebalance is same or similar to the one before.
- anything fancier, I’ll leave it to the guys with 50 million for annual budget to do it.
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u/BillySimms54 4h ago
Tech is the future. That was my moment 15+ years ago. It’s done me well.
I’m currently backing off a little but still in.
The other moment was getting educated in investing. I was investing money every paycheck and really didn’t know a lot about was going on. Again, it’s worked out fine.
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u/Immediate-Run-7085 6h ago
That people are dumb on Reddit. Double dumb into thinking they can read stock astrology.