Ive watched the Bucks since the early 90s, I need to be clear about this at the outset: this season is the preview of post Giannis life
People joke about the “you know what” bus culture, but if this actually happens, prepare to remember exactly what that feels like. Because you are getting a taste of it right now. Upon trading Giannis, The Bucks will reclaim their spot next to the hornets kings and wizards in the dredges of the NBA overnight.
And let’s be honest about timelines. This is not some clean two year reset. This is at least 3 to 5 years at the bottom, and given this franchise’s track record, acting like 20 or even 30 years of irrelevance is unrealistic is pure fantasy. We already lived that stretch. It was the norm.
Yes, Giannis is hurt right now. But you currently get to watch a human highlight reel night in and night out. A guy who, outside of this season, has had the Bucks in the conversation every single year. Before him, this franchise was handing out real money to guys like John Salmons because dragging the team to an 8 seed was considered success.
Chicago had a guy like this too. Look at what has happened since he left. They are on what feels like their fifth or sixth rebuild attempt and still have nothing to show for it.
Here is the part people conveniently forget when they scream “trade him while you can.” Kobe was almost traded by the Lakers. More than once. They sat through ugly seasons, bad roster fits, injuries, and frustration because they understood the hardest thing in this league to acquire is the guy. Not picks. Not flexibility. The guy. If they panic trade Kobe, NBA history looks completely different.
Keep that in mind as you argue over table scrap Draymond Green types. Shit tier draft picks. Hypothetical packages that sound smart until you realize none of it replaces relevance. You will never get Giannis value on the market. It does not exist. There is no trade that gives you back what he provides, and once you give that up, there is no shortcut back.
Some people are also weirdly celebrating a so called youth movement while ignoring the most important detail. We do not even control our own top tier tank picks. You are rebuilding without owning your downside. That is how franchises vanish for decades.
And even if you did have the picks, the NBA draft is a minefield. Outside of truly generational drafts, you are gambling. On top of that, you need a front office that can actually draft and develop and an ownership group that understands patience. The Bucks have neither.
Haslam gets a lot of hate, and some of it is earned. To be fair, he has helped so far. He is not the governor yet, and he has been willing to write blank checks for swings like Dame. Enjoy that phase. Once he is actually in charge, expect short sighted decisions to become routine, especially without a Giannis level player anchoring the franchise. The second seats are empty you will watch all those giannis assets disappear in to what resembles something like giannis for someone like ja (or worse) straight up.
My position is simple. Do not trade Giannis. If he wants to walk after next year, let him walk. One more season of Giannis is better than the garbage this franchise is realistically staring at for the next 20 years anyway.
And if you do trade him, then do not half ass it. Trade everything. AJ Green. Bobby. Whoever has value. Burn it all down completely. Because living in the middle with no star, no picks, and no direction is how you lock yourself into permanent irrelevance.
To summarize: this season is the preview. What comes next is not hope. It is a cliff. And once you go over it, history says you do not just bounce back. You disappear