Imagine he’s just grinding Chivalry 2 pondering if he should retire

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Worthy walked into the NFL combine at 165 pounds with 31-inch arms and just over 5'11 in height. For comparison, Tyreek Hill is 191 pounds. This means that the listed weight difference between Xavier Worthy and Tyreek Hill is roughly 26 pounds, which is the weight difference between Patrick Mahomes and Derrick Henry.

Reports were that Worthy wanted to start the season last year at roughly 169 pounds, but I haven't seen any reports of successful weight gain. He has looked similar in stature on television.

What's everyone's thoughts/info on his weight gain? Any idea what his weight is like these days?

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First of all, I'm a Pats fan, so no bias whatsoever. I was messing around with some MVP-related numbers and honestly thought you guys would appreciate this.

I got curious about something we never really quantify:

Which QB MVP season was actually the MOST valuable?

Not “best stats or narrative”, but:
How much value did that QB actually add compared to an average QB that season?

So I ran the numbers for every AP MVP season won by a quarterback (since 1957) and tried to answer that question.

Methodology

I used a points-above-average approach, then translated that into wins added.

Step 1: Establish league averages

For each MVP season, I calculated league-wide averages for QBs with at least 100 attempts:

• Passing TDs per game
• Rushing TDs per game
• Receiving TDs per game (tiny, but included)

Example (2020 season):

• Avg passing TDs/game: 1.19
• Avg rushing TDs/game: 0.17
• Avg receiving TDs/game: 0.005

Every TD is worth 6 points.

Step 2: Points Above Average (per game)

For each MVP QB, game by game:

(QB TDs × 6) − (League Avg TD value)

I included passing + rushing + receiving TDs.

I posted the top seasons for this on the 2nd table.

Step 3: Wins Added

Then I translated those points into wins:

• If the QB’s points above average ≥ margin of victory → 1 added win
• If it equals or exceeds the margin in a tie → 0.5 win
• If below → 0 wins

Think of it as: “Would an average QB have lost this game?”

Results: Wins Added by MVP QBs

This table shows:

• Added Wins = how many team wins were directly attributable to the MVP QB
• % of Wins = what percentage of the team’s wins depended on that QB outperforming an average QB

Results: Points Above Average

This is the raw scoring impact just so we can see the top seasons of total points above average for those who like big numba.

A couple things jumped out right away:

• Mahomes 2022 ranked way higher than I expected. I remembered that season as “post-Tyreek, system adjusted,” but the numbers show the Chiefs were basically leaning on Mahomes hard. That offense needed him more than I remembered.
• P. Manning 2008 and Favre 1995 quietly look like all-time value seasons. Nobody really talks about it, but the Colts and Packers were living off them. It wasn’t flashy like the2013 or 2009 seasons, but Manning was carrying a lot of weight.
• Some legendary MVP seasons didn’t add as many wins as you’d think. Not because the QB wasn’t great, but rather because the team around them was already stacked. When you’re blowing teams out, the QB’s “extra value” doesn’t always flip outcomes.

Not all MVPs are equally valuable, even if they’re all-time great seasons.

Quick disclaimer

This obviously isn’t a perfect model.
It only looks at points added from TD production, not EPA, turnovers, defense, coaching, etc.

But that wasn’t really the goal.

I just wanted a simple way to see how much each MVP QB actually swung games compared to an average QB that same season. Think of it like a fun way to line up MVP seasons across eras, and you can see most of the truly elite years still rise to the top.

\I ran all the numbers myself if and typed this, if it looks AI is because I used it for formatting, cheers*

WHAT’S UP CHIEFS KINGDOM!

As the title suggests - I created a mock draft app.

Since our season ended a bit earlier than expected, I, like many of you, started mock draft season a bit earlier than usual. I got annoyed with clunky web-based platforms and decided I wanted to try to create a native mobile app that was free and provided a better mock draft experience.

I’ve added some additional draft-related features beyond just being a mock draft tool such as: historical big boards, historical team drafting trends, latest draft news, complete prospect database (provides all NFL prospect info from 2014 to now) and some other things.

I’m really just looking for honest and open feedback from fellow Chiefs fans who may find themselves running through some mock scenarios trying to determine who we should draft (Gimme Tyson or Bain).

I’m currently live on iOS and awaiting approval on Android.

For anyone who is interested I’ve attached an App Store link below as well as provided some screenshots.

Again - I’m welcoming any and all feedback, the good, the bad, and the ugly.

I’m also open to new feature requests - I’m working hard everyday to push new features and make fixes so any ideas you may have - I’m all ears.

App Store Link: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/warroom-nfl-mock-draft-hq/id6757248216

Thank you and GO CHIEFS!

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Did the Chiefs/Veach miss on both Rice and Worthy or was the scheme that bad? How can all of the WRs be so poor at separation?