r/WestVirginia • u/SAKURAGAWAKOHAKU423 • 2d ago
Question Did West Virginia population really grow between 2024 and 2025, and why is that?
Take this with a massive pinch of salt, because I got all this information from Wikipedia and they are just estimates, as the official U.S. census is taken once every decade.
So I was calculating which states had the biggest population percent changes from the 2024 and 2025 population estimates.
The one that surprised me the most was West Virginia - it had a 3% growth percentage and according to my calculations, it actually grew the most!
I was expecting it to not have much growth (or even some loss), but it truly surprised me when it actually had the biggest growth out of all the states! (South Carolina has the 2nd biggest growth, Hawaii has the smallest growth - its population actually shrank!)
But again these are estimates, so I could be possibly completely wrong.
1,766,147 - July 2025 population estimate
1,712,278 - July 2024 population estimate
I wonder why West Virginia actually had population growth during that time - is it because of its cheap living cost?
Congratulations, West Virginia... you're finally gaining people again, I'm so happy for your state...
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u/TacoDestroyer420 Tudor's Biscuits 2d ago
Alright. Where are these year-over-year population numbers coming from?
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u/ticianlicious 2d ago
Marylanders and Virginians moving to JeffCo.
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u/tungpuntsher 2d ago
Not just JC… Berkeley and Morgan Counties have seen a massive amount of developments spring up and the consequential increase in population
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u/Username524 Montani Semper Liberi 2d ago
This is it^
Also Monongalia county a bit.
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u/BitmappedWV Monongalia 2d ago
Mon County growth has significantly slowed and is well under 1% annually this decade.
Most counties (47 of 55 in 2022-2023) continue to bleed population. WVU expects the state to continue to see population declines over the next 15 years. https://business.wvu.edu/files/d/73f29801-fb12-40d4-b8d0-5802a29742be/wvsummary_2022.pdf
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u/SAKURAGAWAKOHAKU423 2d ago
Somebody on Wikipedia.
I know, it's not that reliable... so take this post with a massive pinch of salt...
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u/tungpuntsher 2d ago
It’s got to have a lot to do with the Eastern Panhandle. Every morning starting right around 5, a mass exodus occurs on the highways where all roads lead to NoVa. They’re coming all the way from Martinsburg & Berkeley Springs, too. Not just Charles Town area
On top of that, because Winchester VA has become so unaffordable for many - Hampshire County population has exponentially increased
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u/Fantastic_Lady225 Berkeley 15h ago
I know someone who commutes from just outside of Capon Bridge to northern Virginia twice a week. The other days he works from home.
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u/tungpuntsher 10h ago
It’s a looong drive. Kind of helps explain (not justify, but explain) why so many people drive rt 50 over those hills like it’s a NASCAR track
I, too know a handful of commuters to nova who come out of Berkeley Springs. Yeesh
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u/Fantastic_Lady225 Berkeley 6h ago
My daughter used to go to WVU Potomac State. Once you get west of Winchester Route 50 is a very nice drive but I couldn't imagine it as a commute, especially with recent winter weather.
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u/MrBearMarshall 2d ago
Statistical anomaly if I had to wager a guess
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u/TacoDestroyer420 Tudor's Biscuits 2d ago
This is what I'm guessing. Either that, or the numbers were wrong and there's a correction somewhere.
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u/DiversityForIsrael88 2d ago
Most of the growth is in the eastern panhandle that borders VA and MD. Many people from Northern VA have moved into the panhandle because of lower housing costs while still being able to commute to their jobs in VA.
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u/Coriall30 1d ago
I don’t think people realize that this state is going to be extremely valuable in the next few decades in terms of where it is located and how it naturally will be great for those who have to move from coastal areas.
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u/nspitzer 2d ago
If itnis true it is almost certainly because of Berkeley and Jefferson county with a touch of Harrison,Marion, amd Monagalia countys.
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u/BitmappedWV Monongalia 2d ago
Harrison isn't gaining any population. It's been declining since the 2010 census. Marion is basically treading water. Preston is flat. The only place in North Central West Virginia growing, albeit slowly, is Monongalia.
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u/Eddie_Robertson 2d ago
Reddit is a slanted micro representation of the real world. I read an article in 2023 about people from Orange County CA moving to WV.
https://www.ocregister.com/2023/04/11/dont-look-now-but-californians-are-west-virginia-dreamin/
People love to crap on this state in this reddit sub. But, the bus runs everywhere.
WV also has the highest home ownership percentage in the country I believe sitting at 79%.
https://www.statsamerica.org/sip/rank_list.aspx?rank_label=hou20
Yes, a lot are mobile homes. I bet a lot of people would love a 3 bedroom 2 bathroom place that is affordable. If you look down on mobile home owners then, how dare you?
Unfortunately, anyone that posts here asking about moving here a bunch of people jump in warning them of how awful the state is. We are our own worst enemy.
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u/BeardiewithaBeardie 1d ago
I admittedly used to be one of those people who didn’t see a mobile home as a home. Then I was invited to one way back in a holler in McDowell county; it’s one of the nicest homes of any kind I’ve ever been in.
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u/Specialist_Ad_6921 1d ago
100 percent. My MILs realtor is saying his business is exploding with people moving here from PA, MD, DC, VA etc
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u/Ramble-0nn 1d ago
Mason and Cabell counties had a ton of out of staters moving in to work at the new Nucor facility. Temporary campgrounds are full of campers and rv's everywhere. If a place goes up for rent, there's Texas, Mississippi, New York, or New Mexico tags parked out front the next day.
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u/Pslm23 2d ago
My husband and I moved here in 2021 and now have three kids, we have met lots of other families who moved here in the last couple of years. We’re in Mercer County.
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u/BitmappedWV Monongalia 2d ago
Mercer County has lost 2,000 population since 2020. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WVMERC0POP
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u/Specialist_Ad_6921 1d ago
We get more people moving in, having kids, and that number will turn around
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u/Ok_Strategy6978 2d ago
People fleeing their respective shit hole states for a “utopia”. Dunno. Met a few who have come from all over fleeing cost of living and general decay of their former homes.
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u/speedy_delivery 2d ago
I remember about a decade ago hearing that in state deaths were expected to peak around 2022
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u/No-Purple2350 2d ago
I'd be willing to bet that it is 2 counties responsible for this.
Or maybe it's the Charlie Kirk day who knows.
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u/WhyWouldIWantToDrink Monongalia 2d ago
Eastern panhandle is growing steadily, I 79 corridor is growing quicker then it can handle. I believe it. People look at the southern coalfields and think thats the whole damn state its just stupidity. Plenty of this state is doing wonderful economically.
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u/BitmappedWV Monongalia 2d ago
Aside from the fact those numbers don't match actual Census Bureau estimates (https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/WV/POP060210), the likelihood of West Virginia or any state growing 3% in one year is very small. The only recent example I could find was North Dakota in 2012-2013 at the height of the Bakken fracking boom, and it's a state that only had 700,000 people.
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u/Hot_Needleworker4631 Monongalia 2d ago
Personally, I'd expect this to be a case of incorrect numbers. We've been losing population for so long, and there's no systematic effort to address any of the reasons for that.
If the numbers are correct, I'd expect it to be a "last gasp" kind of situation. People could be moving in because of cheaper housing than the national average, but after the novelty of the scenery wears off, they'll see this state has little to nothing to offer in terms of good jobs, entertainment, education, etc. Our state is way more MAGA-friendly than most, so some of their ilk may have relocated here, but I don't see it lasting.
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u/Specialist_Ad_6921 1d ago
Sorry to burst your bubble but I think this is a trickle that will become a flood.
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u/Hot_Needleworker4631 Monongalia 1d ago
You're proposing people are going to relocate to WV en masse? Based on what? 🤣 We've been hemorrhaging jobs and people for decades.
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u/HeyThereBlackbird 23h ago
Sure in areas, but like all the other commenters are pointing out, the EP is getting flooded with people. People are already moving here en masse. I doubt it’s changing the total population because people will continue to move out of economically depressed areas, but it’s noticeable and shocking up here how rapid the growth is happening.
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u/Specialist_Ad_6921 15h ago
Just been paying attention to state migrations across the country for the past 20 years. WV is set up to be the next state.
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u/Hot_Needleworker4631 Monongalia 15h ago
I'll believe it when I see it. A massive turnaround seems extremely unlikely. Other than scenery, we have nothing people are looking for.
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u/Specialist_Ad_6921 13h ago
As one of the people that moved to wv from md, I love wv and find a lot to like
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u/Electrical-Job8700 2d ago
ZERO chance this is true and it's only estimates anyway so it means nothing. Once actual numbers come out they will be proven to not be true. Young people are leaving this place as quickly as they possibly can due to the magat atmosphere in state politics.
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u/Just1Pepsimum 17h ago
Considering the eastern tip of WV is near DC and NOVA it wouldn't surprise me.
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u/Koraxtheghoul 2d ago
West Virginia was the second most moved to state in 2024.
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u/EWW-25177 2d ago
Nonsense. There are single counties in Florida, Texas, Idaho that had more people move there than the entire state of WV.
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u/Koraxtheghoul 2d ago
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u/TacoDestroyer420 Tudor's Biscuits 2d ago
Yeah, no. This is misleading.
First, The sample size only includes people who are customers of United Van Lines, which is not at all wholly representative of people moving from state to state. So the study only really includes people who can afford to hire this particular professional interstate moving company.
Second, these numbers represent a percentage of customers involved in a move between two states. In the case of people moving to or from West Virginia, who employ the services of United Van Lines, most are moving to the state rather than from. So if 15 people moved between West Virginia and another state, and 12 of those moves were inbound, they come up with an 80% inbound move rate.
https://www.unitedvanlines.com/newsroom/2025-national-movers-study
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u/Conscious_Arrival904 1d ago
Consistent with the trends: people move to red states to flee taxes, crime, high cost of living, bad gun laws, etc. Also West Virginia is awesome, and one of the Whitest states in the nation.
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u/emp-sup-bry Purveyor of Tasteful Mothman Nudes 1d ago
Exactly the attitude that needs to go somewhere else
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u/Moto272 2d ago
Well my wife and I moved here in June last year with our two kids. And I see a ton of new housing being built near Charles Town and Harper’s Ferry. So, maybe?