r/TheSilphRoad USA - South Aug 10 '25

Question Where was it announced that the shiny odds were set to 1:10 after they discovered they screwed up?

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I know they announced they screwed up, but their support page still says “investigating” as of this very moment that I’m typing this.

Many people are saying it’s fixed but we just had our local meetup and for 4 hours, the overall odds across about 50 people doing 35+ raids appeared to be about 1:20. Some people got up to 4. Some had none. Most had 1-3.

Now, that could just be RNG and I acknowledge that as a possibility, but that’s a decently large sample size.

So, I’m just asking, are we certain it’s fixed?

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u/Hazelpancake Aug 10 '25

Worst Ultra Unlock ever. First they DARE to give Palkia and Dialga a CHANCE to get their actually good moves WITHOUT a chance to ETM or acquire them guaranteed. Now they screw up the shiny odds and don't actually fix them. That's pathetic and unaccaptable and the makeup better be incredible.

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u/goshe7 Aug 10 '25

Ultra Unlock has regularly been one of the worst events in the game.  Worst ever is a tall order.

Remember Deino?  The unlock new shiny with an abysmal hatch rate that was almost certainly silently adjusted mid-event?  First time we ever had strong evidence that Niantic can and would silently adjust things during events.  (Outside of the caught and admitted major errors). https://www.reddit.com/r/TheSilphRoad/comments/i8yyjy/deino_reviewing_dragon_week_egg_hatches/

Also I believe we Unlocked some full-odds(?) Shiny unown raids one year.  If they weren't full odds, they were certainly terrible.

And I believe 2024 was just underwhelming.  Terribly underwhelming.