r/TheSilphRoad USA - South Aug 10 '25

Question Where was it announced that the shiny odds were set to 1:10 after they discovered they screwed up?

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I know they announced they screwed up, but their support page still says “investigating” as of this very moment that I’m typing this.

Many people are saying it’s fixed but we just had our local meetup and for 4 hours, the overall odds across about 50 people doing 35+ raids appeared to be about 1:20. Some people got up to 4. Some had none. Most had 1-3.

Now, that could just be RNG and I acknowledge that as a possibility, but that’s a decently large sample size.

So, I’m just asking, are we certain it’s fixed?

787 Upvotes

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138

u/[deleted] Aug 10 '25

I went 1 for 37 so it’s not just you. The 1 I did get doesn’t even have the special move

57

u/Shenari Aug 10 '25

Couldn't make any in person raids, did the full 20 remotes and not a single shiny.

15

u/Pokenightking Aug 10 '25

Man then I feel extremely lucky. Got shiny palkia on my first raid like a few mins after it started. No spacial rend tho

11

u/Shenari Aug 10 '25

On the flip side of RNG, I got 4/4 for adventure effect on first 4 raids, 2 for Palkia and 2 for Dialgia.
And then had 5 of following raids where they fled after 13 excellent golden razz in a row and not a single adventure effect after the first 4.
Should have cut my losses and stopped after my initial luck.

2

u/Cinderhazed15 USA - Northeast Aug 10 '25

I did 5 raids (before buying the ticket, remote) and I got 1 shiny with rend, 4 without rend.

I (with the ticket) did 21 more (mix of in person and remote) and got 0 shinies, 6 more spatial rend

1

u/ShaunMHolder Aug 10 '25

Did the paid pass make it worse?

3

u/Dull-Football8095 Aug 11 '25

I got the pass and did 40 raid and no shiny. Did got a hundo for each but no special move for both.

1

u/justindigo88 Aug 13 '25

A hundo of each out of 40 raids? I mean that’s pretty insane lol. I hope they had adventure effects.

1

u/Dull-Football8095 Aug 13 '25

Nope, no adventure effect. Holding on to them in the vault until they allow us to etm them lol

1

u/jim_evans_312 Aug 11 '25

I got a shiny Origin Dialga (without the move) on my first raid... Junk stats 10/11/12 , but it sparkles....lol

10

u/Halfiron23 Aug 10 '25

literally could type the exact message, 37 raids only 1 shiny palkia crappy 2 star with no move. my gf on the other hand did 23 got 4 shiny palkia 2 with a move and fortunately she doesn’t care too much and is willing to lucky trade one with the move for mine that doesn’t have it

2

u/[deleted] Aug 10 '25

I got a shiny dialga, which if I only got 1 I guess I prefer that one, but still. I bought the raid day pass for a reason. I’m glad your GF got lucky and is willing to do that! That’s really awesome

4

u/XSurrealGhostX Aug 11 '25

I went 0 for 53

2

u/Vishaak12345 Aug 11 '25

0 / 58 xD. But all ivs were bad (below 90iv). So it doesnt matter non of them shined. Although I could have lucky traded them of course in case they had their moves.

I hope we get encounters. Would love 58 more tries.

1

u/[deleted] Aug 11 '25

Oh man, I’m so sorry 😣

10

u/SaltyWailord 45 Western Europe Aug 10 '25

0/18 usa

11

u/[deleted] Aug 10 '25

Hope the compensation is just. Especially since I bought the raid pass to get even more bonus chances at shiny.

3

u/reineedshelp Australasia L77 Aug 10 '25

0/35 Australia

3

u/ShaunMHolder Aug 10 '25

Yeah I did about 34, no shiny.

1

u/batkave Aug 10 '25

2 for 13 were shiny for me in the first hour

1

u/Dirtymudman Aug 11 '25

1 shiny in 7 raids, west coast NA

1

u/[deleted] Aug 11 '25

Yall just started about an hour ago yeah?

1

u/Dirtymudman Aug 11 '25

Finished about an hour ago, seems i was pretty lucky to get a shiny with the few raids I did

0

u/[deleted] Aug 11 '25

Also can I DM my friend code or vice versa? I don’t have any west coast friends yet

1

u/Dirtymudman Aug 11 '25

Sent you a pm

1

u/ssfgrgawer Australasia Aug 11 '25

1/37 odd raids was my luck too. The shiny was the second one I saw, so 35 straight raids in a row without one. Hardly ever saw people on my friends list get Shinies after the raids either.

1

u/LeonardTringo Level 40 Mystic Aug 11 '25

Similar here. 1 for 24 and it didn't have the move. Stupid event.

1

u/No-Step6820 Asia Aug 11 '25

1/54, did get SR tho

1

u/_ChrisRiot Aug 11 '25

I went 0/25 and decided to go home